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forecasting

Everything on Ground Truth tagged “forecasting” — 6 items.

Google put the hurricane model's weights on a public bucket News

DeepMind has open-sourced WeatherNext 2 with pretrained weights, including the exact cyclone checkpoint the National Hurricane Center used operationally through the 2025 Atlantic season, plus a one-degree variant sized for a single consumer GPU.

WeatherNext called Melissa's Category 5 landfall five days out News

Google DeepMind's WeatherNext predicted Hurricane Melissa's Category 5 landfall in Jamaica five days ahead at 80% confidence, and its five-day track forecasts averaged about 140 kilometres closer than the European ensemble -- roughly a day and a half of extra warning.

Ensembles: why averaging several models beats picking the best one Lesson

An ensemble runs several models on the same input and combines their answers, which reliably beats any single member because independent mistakes cancel while correct signal adds -- and it is where forecast probabilities come from.

WeatherNext models on Google Cloud Tool

Google DeepMind's AI weather forecasts, available as a developer API and as raw forecast data in Earth Engine, BigQuery and Vertex AI, with ensemble scenarios out to 15 days.

WeatherNext 2 Tool

Google DeepMind's ensemble weather and cyclone forecasting models, released with code, pretrained weights and runnable notebooks. Includes the checkpoint used operationally by the National Hurricane Center in 2025 and a one-degree Mini variant sized for a single GPU.

TimesFM Tool

Google's pre-trained foundation model for time-series forecasting — predicting things that change over time, like demand, traffic, or sensor readings — usable out of the box without training your own model.